Pair #3285

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BCAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brian Campbell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 24589

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Campbell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BCAM

Will Brian Campbell win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1755692

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Campbell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:04Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Houston Open are separate tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9610
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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