Pair #3280

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20508

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.8300
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Scott finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20305

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.5200
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Scott finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:04Z

Reasoning: If Adam Scott finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue