Pair #3279

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 30678

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Scott finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1539

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.8300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Scott has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:04Z

Reasoning: If Adam Scott finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. But making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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