Pair #3273

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1539

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.8300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-ASCO

Will Adam Scott lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7804

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:05:49Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could lead R1 but play poorly in R2 and miss the cut. And making the cut does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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