Pair #3270

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ASCO

Will Adam Scott win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 801727

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Scott wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1539

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.8300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Scott has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:05:49Z

Reasoning: If Adam Scott wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, he must have made the cut to compete in the final rounds and win. You cannot win without making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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