KXNHL-26-LA
Will Los Angeles Kings win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Los Angeles Kings
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2215691
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200
KXNHLWEST-26-LA
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Los Angeles Kings
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 123731
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:46Z
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, the Kings must have won the Western Conference Finals to reach the Stanley Cup. Winning the Cup logically necessitates winning the Western Conference Finals. The reverse does not hold — winning the Western Conference Finals means they could still lose the Stanley Cup Finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-11.06%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-15.27%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T09:45:09Z