Pair #3262

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1539

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.8300

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Rules

If Adam Scott has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ASCO

Will Adam Scott win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3469868

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:05:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Houston Open are events at different tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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