Pair #3254

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KKIT

Will Kurt Kitayama win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 613373

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kurt Kitayama wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KKIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kurt Kitayama finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15409

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:05:30Z

Reasoning: If Kitayama wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily in the top 20. The reverse does not hold — a top 20 finish does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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