Pair #3252

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KKIT

Will Kurt Kitayama win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 613373

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kurt Kitayama wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-KKIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kurt Kitayama finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3015

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:05:13Z

Reasoning: Winning the Texas Children's Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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