Pair #3246

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RNEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 945

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RNEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 317

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:05:13Z

Reasoning: Finishing in the top 10 necessarily means finishing in the top 20. The reverse does not hold — a top 20 finish could be outside the top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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