Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RNEE
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 945
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RNEE
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 316747
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:05:13Z
Reasoning: These are two completely different tournaments (Masters vs. Houston Open). Winning one has no logical bearing on finishing top 10 in the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0010
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A