Pair #3239

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-KREI

Will Kristoffer Reitan lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Kristoffer Reitan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15897

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kristoffer Reitan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KREI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kristoffer Reitan finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kristoffer Reitan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1933

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kristoffer Reitan finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:04:56Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish — a player can fall well down the leaderboard. A top 20 finish does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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