Pair #3236

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KREI

Will Kristoffer Reitan win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kristoffer Reitan
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 172310

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kristoffer Reitan wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-KREI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kristoffer Reitan finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kristoffer Reitan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 535

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kristoffer Reitan finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:04:56Z

Reasoning: If Kristoffer Reitan wins the Houston Open, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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