Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLPRES-26-NYI
Will the New York Islanders win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?
Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: New York Islanders
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 358
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If New York Islanders wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-NYI
Will the New York Islanders be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: New York Islanders
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 86171
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the New York Islanders are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:46Z
Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best regular season record) guarantees a playoff spot. However, making the playoffs does not imply winning the President's Trophy. So President's Trophy → Playoff Qualifier, but not vice versa.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A