Pair #3197

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-MPEN

Will Marco Penge win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Marco Penge
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 779797

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Marco Penge wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-MPEN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Marco Penge finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Marco Penge
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8388

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Marco Penge finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:04:08Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 5. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue