Pair #319

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLEAST-26-NYI

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: New York Islanders
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 91357

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If New York Islanders wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-NYI

Will the New York Islanders win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: New York Islanders
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 358

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If New York Islanders wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals does not require having the best regular season record (President's Trophy), and winning the President's Trophy does not require winning the Eastern Conference Finals. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -11.40% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: 30
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -15.62% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue