Pair #3188

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4928

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RHOJ

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 967685

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:03:51Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 in the Houston Open are completely independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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