Pair #3185

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3052

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 6248

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aldrich Potgieter has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:03:51Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means making the cut — you cannot finish in the top 5 overall without having survived the cut. However, making the cut does not imply a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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