Pair #3178

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ARAI

Will Aaron Rai win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 53838

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aaron Rai wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ARAI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Rai finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3395

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aaron Rai finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:03:33Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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