Pair #3170

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JDAY

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jason Day finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jason Day
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8938

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jason Day finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JDAY

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jason Day make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jason Day
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 281

YES ask: 0.8600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jason Day has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:03:33Z

Reasoning: If Jason Day finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue