Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JDAY
Will Jason Day win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jason Day
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1254077
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jason Day wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JDAY
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jason Day make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jason Day
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 281
YES ask: 0.8600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.6900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jason Day has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:03:17Z
Reasoning: If Jason Day wins the Houston Open, he must have made the cut to compete in the final rounds and win. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee winning.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.8600
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A