Pair #3152

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SBUR

Will Sam Burns win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sam Burns
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1297533

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Burns wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SBUR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Burns finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sam Burns
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11128

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Burns finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:03:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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