Pair #3147

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-STHE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13041

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.3000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-STHE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 29686

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:03:00Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish necessarily means a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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