Pair #3144

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-STHE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 690

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.2900
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-STHE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 29686

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:43Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish — a player could make the cut but finish outside the top 20. Top 20 implies making the cut, but top 20 is not one of the two tickers here being checked as antecedent; the top 20 event (B) implying make cut (A) is the valid direction. Actually: finishing top 20 → made the cut (high confidence). So KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-STHE implies KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-STHE.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue