KXNHL-26-NYI
Will New York Islanders win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: New York Islanders
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 558209
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXNHLEAST-26-NYI
Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: New York Islanders
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 91357
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:27Z
Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup Finals requires winning the Eastern Conference Finals first. So if NYI wins the Cup, they must have won the ECF. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-22.85%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
14
Hurdle yield:
4.17%
Excess yield:
-27.02%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T09:57:09Z