Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-STHE
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 690
YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.2900
Last: 0.9500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sahith Theegala has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-STHE
Will Sahith Theegala lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9006
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sahith Theegala is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:43Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.3100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A