Pair #3137

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 880119

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-STHE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 14281

YES ask: 0.6600
NO ask: 0.3800
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:43Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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