Pair #3133

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-STHE

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5897

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-STHE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 690

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.2900
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:22Z

Reasoning: Winning a major and making the cut at the Houston Open are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -67.71% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.9400
Days to maturity: 214
Hurdle yield: 4.28%
Excess yield: -71.99% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue