Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-STHE
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13041
YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.3000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-STHE
Will Sahith Theegala win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2231588
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sahith Theegala wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:22Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 5 at the Houston Open are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.7310
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A