Pair #313

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-NJ

Will New Jersey Devils win the NHL Metropolitan Division?

Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: New Jersey Devils
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6601

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the New Jersey Devils win the 2025-2026 NHL Metropolitan Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-NJ

Will the New Jersey Devils be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: New Jersey Devils
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 70138

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the New Jersey Devils are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:27Z

Reasoning: A team can make the playoffs as a wild card without winning their division, and winning the division guarantees a playoff spot but the playoff qualifier market and division winner market are independent in both directions under wild card rules. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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