Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-NJ
Will New Jersey Devils win the NHL Metropolitan Division?
Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: New Jersey Devils
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6601
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the New Jersey Devils win the 2025-2026 NHL Metropolitan Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-NJ
Will the New Jersey Devils be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: New Jersey Devils
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 70138
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the New Jersey Devils are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:27Z
Reasoning: A team can make the playoffs as a wild card without winning their division, and winning the division guarantees a playoff spot but the playoff qualifier market and division winner market are independent in both directions under wild card rules. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A