Pair #3126

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 92510

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20302

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:22Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-5 finish, and finishing top 5 does not require leading after Round 1. These are independent outcomes.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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