Pair #3115

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BKOE

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3474

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

Rules

If Brooks Koepka finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 10544

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:05Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in all four majors and making the cut at the Houston Open are unrelated events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -42.98% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: 56
Hurdle yield: 4.21%
Excess yield: -47.19% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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