Pair #3113

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32768

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3676

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:05Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish (the field after the cut can be larger than 20).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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