Pair #3111

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22259

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3676

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:02:05Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires having made the cut — you cannot finish in the top 10 without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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