Pair #3109

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1339

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32768

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:48Z

Reasoning: A top-10 Round 1 finish does not guarantee a top-20 overall finish, and a top-20 overall finish does not require a top-10 Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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