Pair #3106

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3676

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1339

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:48Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (Round 2 performance also matters), and making the cut does not require a top-10 Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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