Pair #3105

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 53122

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1339

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:48Z

Reasoning: If Lee leads after Round 1, he is necessarily in the top 10 (the leader is 1st). The reverse does not hold — being top 10 does not mean he is the outright leader.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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