Pair #3099

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1339

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MWLE

Will Min Woo Lee win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3343364

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:48Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Texas Children's Houston Open are entirely separate tournaments. Winning one has no logical bearing on performance in the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8710
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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