Pair #3098

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SLOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1154

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SLOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16268

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:48Z

Reasoning: If Lowry finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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