Pair #3093

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SLOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3126

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SLOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2097

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:28Z

Reasoning: If Lowry finishes top 10, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish top 10 without surviving the cut). However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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