Pair #3089

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SLOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2097

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6619

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:28Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player can lead R1 and then play poorly in R2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not require leading after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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