Pair #3086

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 186782

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SLOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3126

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:28Z

Reasoning: If Lowry wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily in the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not require winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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