Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SLOW
Will Shane Lowry win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 186782
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Shane Lowry wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SLOW
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2097
YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.7700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Shane Lowry has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:07Z
Reasoning: To win the Houston Open, Lowry must complete all rounds, which requires making the cut. Winning the tournament logically necessitates having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a win.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.7700
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A