Pair #3078

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SLOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16268

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6938197

YES ask: 0.0640
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0640

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:01:07Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Houston Open are separate events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8340
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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