Pair #3072

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12133

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13948

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:00:53Z

Reasoning: If Tony Finau finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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