Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLPACIFIC-26-VGK
Will Vegas Golden Knights win the NHL Pacific Division?
Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 60018
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLWEST-26-VGK
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 779102
YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Vegas Golden Knights wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:27Z
Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division does not require winning the Western Conference Finals, and winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Pacific Division (a wild card team can win the conference). No implication in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.9100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A