Pair #307

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-VGK

Will Vegas Golden Knights win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 60018

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-VGK

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 779102

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vegas Golden Knights wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:27Z

Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division does not require winning the Western Conference Finals, and winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Pacific Division (a wild card team can win the conference). No implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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