Pair #3066

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3993

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5229

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:00:53Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish — a player can collapse over the remaining rounds. And finishing top 20 does not require leading R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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