Pair #3061

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5229

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2258339

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 20 at the Houston Open. These are entirely separate tournaments and events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8620
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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