Pair #3060

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3993

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2258339

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to leading after Round 1 of the Houston Open. These are entirely separate tournaments and events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9920
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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