Pair #306

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPRES-26-VGK

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2580

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vegas Golden Knights wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-VGK

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 779102

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vegas Golden Knights wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy does not require winning the Western Conference Finals (a team can have the best record but lose in the playoffs). And winning the Western Conference Finals does not require having the best regular season record. Neither direction is logically necessary.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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